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IPL 2026 Qualification Scenarios: RCB take crucial step forward; KKR's fate out of their hands

Deepu Narayanan 
rcb-are-back-at-the-top-of-the-table-after-their-win-over-kkr
RCB are back at the top of the table after their win over KKR ©BCCI/IPL

No team has got the elusive 'Q' to their name yet while two, Mumbai Indians and Lucknow Super Giants, have been eliminated. But over the last two days, Gujarat Titans and Royal Challengers Bengaluru have taken definitive steps towards securing a berth in the knockouts while Kolkata Knight Riders' chances have taken a hit.

Here's a look at how the teams are placed after the RCB-KKR game and their qualification scenarios.

Points table after match #57 - RCB vs KKR

TeamMatWonLostNRPointsNRR
RCB12840161.053
GT12840160.551
SRH12750140.331
PBKS11641130.428
CSK11650120.185
RR11650120.082
DC1257010-0.993
KKR114619-0.198
MI113806-0.585
LSG113806-0.907

Royal Challengers Bengaluru

Remaining fixtures: PBKS (A), SRH (A)

Two wins in Raipur rounding off their home fixtures have put RCB in good stead going into the final leg of the league phase. If they beat PBKS on Sunday, they will get to 18 points that assure them of a playoff spot. If they lose to PBKS, they could still get knocked out on NRR even if they beat SRH in the last match, as CSK, RR and GT could tie them with them on 18 points and PBKS reach 19. They can even go through with two defeats should other results come their way, but that will most likely deprive them of a top-two finish.

Kolkata Knight Riders

Remaining fixtures: GT (H), MI (H), DC (H)

The defeat tonight has stopped Kolkata's streak of wins and now completely puts their fortunes out of their hands. At best, they can finish on 15 points, which can be simultaneously surpassed by six teams. They can go through with 13 or 15 points, should other results come in their favour. Their last three fixtures are at home and that should give them some confidence if other results contrive favorably for them.

Gujarat Titans

Remaining fixtures: KKR (A), CSK (H)

Gujarat is the form team in the tournament at present on a five-match winning streak and is superbly placed for a top-two finish. A win in both their remaining matches assures them of a top-two spot. If they beat CSK and lose to KKR, their progress is confirmed but if those two results happen vice versa, they could still miss out as five teams can get to 18 points or higher. They can even go with two defeats, if every other result falls in place.

Sunrisers Hyderabad

Remaining fixtures: CSK (A), RCB (H)

The defeat in Ahmedabad has pushed Hyderabad to the third place and they have two tough games in hand - against CSK in Chennai and RCB at home. If they win both, they are assured of a playoff spot and possibly a top-two finish, though the latter will be dependent on their margin of wins after the drubbing at the hands of Gujarat that shaved off a good chunk of their positive NRR. If they win only one out of the two, they will ideally want it to be against CSK, making sure CSK can't surpass them on points. They can qualify with 14 points, if several results pan out in their favour and can keep the NRR handy even in two defeats.

Punjab Kings

Remaining fixtures: MI (H), RCB (H), LSG (A)

After wading through unbeaten in the first half of the season, Punjab is on a downswing with four defeats on the bounce that has pushed them to the fourth spot. There's a scenario where each of GT, RCB, and SRH keeps winning and all the teams below Punjab do not add to their current points tally of 13 and still go through. If they win all three and get to 19 points, that will assure them of a top-two finish. But if they drop one game, it will come down to how the other results go as five teams can finish on 18 points or more.

Chennai Super Kings

Remaining fixtures: LSG (A), SRH (H), GT (A)

Chennai, with 12 points, sit just outside the top four and a win in their next game could pitchfork them to the top four for the first time in the season. Winning all three matches takes them to 18 points, though it doesn't assure them of qualification as four other sides can get to that mark or go past it. They can even qualify with 16 or 14 points but will need many other results to align in their favour.

Rajasthan Royals

Remaining fixtures: DC (A), LSG (H), MI (A)

Rajasthan dropped out of the top four for the first time in the season following their defeat against Gujarat in their most recent game. They have played only one game since May 2, as a result of which several other teams have surpassed them on points table. A win in each of their three games puts them in a good position to qualify and they are set to play three of the bottom four teams. Since they don't take points from other teams in contention to reach points, they could still be knocked out with three wins.

Delhi Capitals

Remaining fixtures: RR (H), KKR (A)

Capitals are now firmly in the must-win territory and did manage to stay afloat in a tight contest against Punjab in Dharamsala. Their best scenario is winning both games and getting to 14 points and hope GT, RCB, and SRH keep on winning so that none of the other sides reach 14 and DC qualify without NRR coming into picture. Capitals have the worst NRR in the competition (-0.993), something that will pull them down in case of a tie on 14 points with other contenders.

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